Maryland vs Florida State 10/22/2011

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Maryland. EJ Manuel is averaging 268 passing yards and 2.1 TDs per simulation and Devonta Freeman is projected for 55 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Maryland wins, C.J. Brown averages 1.79 TD passes vs 0.94 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 1.31 interceptions. Davin Meggett averages 63 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when Maryland wins and 54 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 30% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -18 --- Over/Under line is 56.5

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